000
WHXX01 KMIA 040231
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0231 UTC SAT OCT 4 2008
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE FIFTEEN (EP152008) 20081004 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        081004  0000   081004  1200   081005  0000   081005  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.5N  99.3W   14.0N  99.1W   14.3N  99.7W   14.7N 101.2W
BAMD    13.5N  99.3W   14.2N  99.6W   15.0N 100.4W   15.9N 101.6W
BAMM    13.5N  99.3W   14.1N  99.1W   14.7N  99.7W   15.4N 101.0W
LBAR    13.5N  99.3W   14.2N  99.3W   15.3N 100.0W   16.5N 101.1W
SHIP        30KTS          36KTS          43KTS          47KTS
DSHP        30KTS          36KTS          43KTS          47KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        081006  0000   081007  0000   081008  0000   081009  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.3N 102.8W   15.8N 105.5W   15.2N 107.7W   14.6N 108.4W
BAMD    17.0N 102.9W   18.8N 105.3W   19.9N 107.4W   20.7N 108.5W
BAMM    16.2N 102.5W   17.2N 105.7W   17.2N 109.1W   16.9N 111.9W
LBAR    18.0N 102.6W   21.5N 104.0W   26.7N 102.8W   33.6N  95.7W
SHIP        54KTS          59KTS          60KTS          55KTS
DSHP        54KTS          59KTS          60KTS          55KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.5N LONCUR =  99.3W DIRCUR =  60DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  13.7N LONM12 =  99.7W DIRM12 = 166DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  13.8N LONM24 =  99.4W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN