000
WTNT80 EGRR 081644

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.10.2008

             HURRICANE NORBERT    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 110.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.10.2008  16.0N 110.5W   MODERATE
 00UTC 09.10.2008  16.6N 111.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2008  17.5N 112.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2008  18.5N 113.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2008  20.0N 114.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.10.2008  21.9N 114.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2008  23.3N 112.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2008  25.1N 110.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.10.2008  26.5N 110.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.10.2008       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.2N  90.8W  

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.10.2008  12.2N  90.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.10.2008  13.0N  92.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2008  13.3N  93.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.10.2008  14.1N  93.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2008  14.4N  94.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.10.2008  14.0N  93.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.10.2008       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 11.2N  38.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2008  11.2N  38.7W     WEAK       
 12UTC 11.10.2008  12.2N  40.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2008  12.5N  41.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2008  13.4N  43.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.10.2008  13.9N  44.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2008  14.4N  46.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2008  15.2N  47.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2008  16.1N  49.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081644