000 WTNT80 EGRR 120539 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.10.2008 HURRICANE NORBERT ANALYSED POSITION : 26.2N 110.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2008 26.2N 110.5W STRONG 12UTC 12.10.2008 26.8N 109.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.10.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 102.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2008 17.7N 102.7W MODERATE 12UTC 12.10.2008 17.6N 105.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2008 17.8N 105.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2008 17.1N 105.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.10.2008 16.6N 105.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2008 16.3N 105.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 16.0N 70.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.10.2008 16.0N 70.0W WEAK 12UTC 14.10.2008 15.5N 71.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2008 16.3N 69.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2008 16.5N 68.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2008 17.6N 67.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2008 19.0N 66.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2008 20.0N 65.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.10.2008 21.5N 64.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2008 23.0N 63.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 17.0N 40.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2008 17.0N 40.0W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2008 18.3N 41.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2008 19.5N 43.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2008 20.0N 44.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2008 21.5N 45.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 120539