000
WTNT80 EGRR 121746

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.10.2008

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT    ANALYSED POSITION : 26.4N 108.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.10.2008  26.4N 108.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.10.2008  32.5N 107.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.10.2008  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE      ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 104.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.10.2008  18.1N 104.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 13.10.2008  18.6N 105.1W     WEAK     
 12UTC 13.10.2008  18.8N 106.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.10.2008  18.1N 107.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2008  17.7N 108.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
16.4N  36.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.10.2008  16.4N  36.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.10.2008  17.4N  38.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2008  17.8N  39.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.10.2008  18.9N  40.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2008  19.9N  41.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2008  20.2N  43.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.10.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 10.5N 120.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2008  10.5N 120.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.10.2008  10.2N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2008   8.6N 121.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2008   9.6N 122.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2008   9.9N 122.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2008  10.2N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2008  10.7N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2008  11.0N 126.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

  
 
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121746