000
WTNT80 EGRR 220452

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.10.2008

    
    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
12.2N 101.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.10.2008  12.2N 101.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.10.2008  12.9N 103.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2008  12.9N 104.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2008  13.3N 104.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2008  14.4N 105.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2008  15.0N 105.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.10.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
            
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 23.5N  91.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2008  23.5N  91.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.10.2008  26.5N  89.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 24.10.2008  27.2N  88.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 25.10.2008  28.5N  86.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2008  32.1N  83.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.10.2008  36.0N  80.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.10.2008  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

            

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 220452