000 WHXX01 KWBC 100044 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0044 UTC THU SEP 10 2009 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED (AL072009) 20090910 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 090910 0000 090910 1200 090911 0000 090911 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.0N 33.5W 16.4N 35.5W 16.9N 36.7W 16.4N 37.3W BAMD 15.0N 33.5W 16.4N 34.9W 18.0N 35.5W 19.4N 34.9W BAMM 15.0N 33.5W 16.1N 35.1W 17.0N 35.9W 17.4N 35.8W LBAR 15.0N 33.5W 16.5N 34.7W 18.0N 35.8W 19.2N 36.5W SHIP 95KTS 89KTS 82KTS 70KTS DSHP 95KTS 89KTS 82KTS 70KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 090912 0000 090913 0000 090914 0000 090915 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.2N 37.2W 13.3N 35.5W 12.2N 34.7W 12.6N 34.2W BAMD 20.5N 33.3W 23.8N 31.5W 28.4N 30.5W 28.3N 23.9W BAMM 17.4N 34.9W 17.8N 33.1W 20.0N 34.4W 22.4N 37.8W LBAR 19.9N 36.6W 21.9N 36.6W 25.2N 35.8W 27.5N 33.3W SHIP 58KTS 37KTS 20KTS 0KTS DSHP 58KTS 37KTS 20KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 15.0N LONCUR = 33.5W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 13.6N LONM12 = 32.1W DIRM12 = 310DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 12.3N LONM24 = 30.1W WNDCUR = 95KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 105KT CENPRS = 965MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN