000
WTNT80 EGRR 111800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.11.2009

 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 26.1N
66.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.11.2009  26.1N  66.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.11.2009  28.3N  66.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.11.2009  30.6N  66.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.11.2009         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 33.6N  77.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.11.2009  33.6N  77.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 13.11.2009  34.6N  76.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.11.2009  33.6N  76.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.11.2009  33.0N  75.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.11.2009  32.6N  73.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.11.2009  31.6N  71.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.11.2009  31.0N  69.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2009         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111702