000
WHXX01 KMIA 071844
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1844 UTC SAT AUG 7 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTELLE (EP072010) 20100807 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100807  1800   100808  0600   100808  1800   100809  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.0N 108.3W   17.5N 109.3W   17.7N 110.4W   17.8N 111.7W
BAMD    17.0N 108.3W   17.9N 109.7W   19.0N 111.3W   20.2N 113.3W
BAMM    17.0N 108.3W   17.8N 109.5W   18.6N 111.1W   19.1N 113.0W
LBAR    17.0N 108.3W   17.8N 109.9W   18.7N 111.6W   19.9N 113.6W
SHIP        50KTS          54KTS          55KTS          53KTS
DSHP        50KTS          54KTS          55KTS          53KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100809  1800   100810  1800   100811  1800   100812  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.7N 113.1W   17.6N 116.0W   16.1N 117.3W   13.7N 115.5W
BAMD    21.5N 115.4W   25.1N 118.3W   30.8N 116.6W   35.6N 111.7W
BAMM    19.8N 115.3W   21.4N 119.9W   24.0N 123.1W   27.0N 124.5W
LBAR    21.3N 115.7W   25.9N 117.8W   32.8N 115.2W   35.8N 110.6W
SHIP        52KTS          44KTS          37KTS          32KTS
DSHP        52KTS          44KTS          37KTS          32KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.0N LONCUR = 108.3W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  16.7N LONM12 = 106.4W DIRM12 = 267DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  16.9N LONM24 = 104.6W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   25NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS =  998MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   35NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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