000 WHXX01 KMIA 080649 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0649 UTC SUN AUG 8 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTELLE (EP072010) 20100808 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 100808 0600 100808 1800 100809 0600 100809 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.7N 110.0W 18.1N 111.0W 18.4N 112.3W 18.7N 113.9W BAMD 17.7N 110.0W 19.1N 111.4W 20.5N 113.1W 22.2N 115.0W BAMM 17.7N 110.0W 18.7N 111.3W 19.6N 113.0W 20.7N 115.2W LBAR 17.7N 110.0W 18.8N 111.4W 20.5N 113.2W 22.1N 115.0W SHIP 55KTS 54KTS 50KTS 45KTS DSHP 55KTS 54KTS 50KTS 45KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 100810 0600 100811 0600 100812 0600 100813 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.1N 115.8W 19.8N 119.0W 20.2N 121.9W 20.5N 125.4W BAMD 24.3N 116.5W 30.4N 116.1W 36.8N 111.3W 38.7N 104.6W BAMM 22.0N 117.3W 25.6N 120.4W 30.8N 120.4W 36.5N 117.4W LBAR 24.7N 116.4W 32.3N 115.7W 39.8N 109.4W 38.8N 101.9W SHIP 38KTS 24KTS 15KTS 0KTS DSHP 38KTS 24KTS 15KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.7N LONCUR = 110.0W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 17.1N LONM12 = 108.3W DIRM12 = 286DEG SPDM12 = 9KT LATM24 = 16.8N LONM24 = 106.4W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 130NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 080649 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0649 UTC SUN AUG 8 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932010) 20100808 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 100808 0600 100808 1800 100809 0600 100809 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.9N 42.0W 23.1N 44.1W 24.0N 46.2W 24.8N 48.0W BAMD 21.9N 42.0W 23.3N 43.9W 24.2N 45.7W 25.0N 47.5W BAMM 21.9N 42.0W 23.2N 44.1W 24.1N 45.9W 24.9N 47.6W LBAR 21.9N 42.0W 23.3N 43.9W 24.4N 45.5W 25.1N 47.3W SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 35KTS DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 35KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 100810 0600 100811 0600 100812 0600 100813 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 25.4N 49.6W 26.9N 51.8W 28.4N 52.4W 30.2N 52.0W BAMD 25.6N 49.2W 27.0N 50.9W 28.5N 49.5W 29.5N 46.3W BAMM 25.5N 49.1W 26.7N 51.0W 28.1N 50.8W 29.7N 49.7W LBAR 25.5N 48.7W 26.8N 50.5W 28.1N 51.0W 28.3N 49.1W SHIP 41KTS 51KTS 53KTS 49KTS DSHP 41KTS 51KTS 53KTS 49KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.9N LONCUR = 42.0W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 14KT LATM12 = 19.8N LONM12 = 39.8W DIRM12 = 318DEG SPDM12 = 15KT LATM24 = 17.6N LONM24 = 37.7W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN