000
WTNT80 EGRR 221800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.09.2010

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE  ANALYSED POSITION : 26.1N 110.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.09.2010  26.1N 110.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 23.09.2010  27.8N 111.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.09.2010  30.3N 114.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.09.2010  34.8N 117.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM LISA       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N  30.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142010

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.09.2010  17.3N  30.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.09.2010  16.8N  30.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2010  17.0N  29.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2010  17.2N  30.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2010  18.5N  30.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2010  19.5N  31.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2010  20.7N  32.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2010  21.9N  32.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2010  22.6N  33.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2010  23.6N  35.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2010  24.6N  36.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2010  25.8N  37.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2010  28.6N  37.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 32.6N  38.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.09.2010  32.6N  38.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.09.2010  31.9N  39.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2010  31.0N  41.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2010  30.4N  44.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.0N  80.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.09.2010  14.0N  80.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.09.2010  14.6N  82.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2010  15.5N  83.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2010  17.0N  86.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2010  17.5N  87.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2010  18.5N  88.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2010        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221639