000 WHXX01 KWBC 130619 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0619 UTC WED OCT 13 2010 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PAULA (AL182010) 20101013 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 101013 0600 101013 1800 101014 0600 101014 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.3N 86.0W 21.1N 86.3W 21.4N 86.0W 21.7N 84.8W BAMD 20.3N 86.0W 22.1N 85.6W 24.2N 83.8W 27.1N 78.9W BAMM 20.3N 86.0W 21.3N 86.0W 22.2N 85.4W 23.4N 83.3W LBAR 20.3N 86.0W 21.9N 85.5W 23.8N 83.6W 25.6N 80.2W SHIP 85KTS 82KTS 76KTS 70KTS DSHP 85KTS 82KTS 76KTS 62KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 101015 0600 101016 0600 101017 0600 101018 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.7N 83.4W 21.8N 81.9W 22.0N 82.0W 22.7N 83.0W BAMD 30.6N 70.5W 36.5N 52.4W 36.0N 42.7W 32.1N 33.8W BAMM 24.5N 79.9W 26.9N 70.5W 30.2N 55.3W 33.2N 42.8W LBAR 28.3N 74.6W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 63KTS 46KTS 32KTS 23KTS DSHP 54KTS 35KTS 29KTS 30KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.3N LONCUR = 86.0W DIRCUR = 350DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 18.8N LONM12 = 85.9W DIRM12 = 345DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 17.2N LONM24 = 85.0W WNDCUR = 85KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 85KT CENPRS = 984MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 50NM $$ NNNN