000
WHXX01 KWBC 171838
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1838 UTC SUN OCT 17 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992010) 20101017 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101017  1800   101018  0600   101018  1800   101019  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.6N  78.5W   12.0N  80.1W   12.7N  81.8W   13.5N  83.2W
BAMD    11.6N  78.5W   12.5N  80.0W   13.5N  81.5W   14.8N  82.6W
BAMM    11.6N  78.5W   12.5N  80.1W   13.5N  81.6W   14.5N  82.8W
LBAR    11.6N  78.5W   12.2N  79.8W   13.5N  81.2W   14.8N  82.3W
SHIP        20KTS          23KTS          30KTS          37KTS
DSHP        20KTS          23KTS          30KTS          37KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101019  1800   101020  1800   101021  1800   101022  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.2N  84.4W   15.0N  86.1W   14.0N  88.5W   12.7N  91.7W
BAMD    16.1N  83.1W   18.1N  82.6W   18.5N  81.4W   18.2N  81.4W
BAMM    15.4N  83.6W   15.8N  84.8W   14.2N  87.0W   12.3N  91.3W
LBAR    16.3N  82.7W   18.3N  82.1W   19.8N  81.0W   22.0N  80.9W
SHIP        44KTS          53KTS          60KTS          70KTS
DSHP        44KTS          37KTS          28KTS          35KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.6N LONCUR =  78.5W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  11.3N LONM12 =  77.6W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  11.0N LONM24 =  76.3W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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