000
WHXX01 KWBC 021821
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1821 UTC TUE AUG 2 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILY (AL052011) 20110802 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110802  1200   110803  0000   110803  1200   110804  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.4N  63.7W   16.3N  65.9W   17.2N  68.3W   18.2N  70.6W
BAMD    15.4N  63.7W   15.9N  65.5W   16.5N  67.2W   17.6N  68.8W
BAMM    15.4N  63.7W   16.1N  65.8W   16.9N  67.8W   17.8N  69.7W
LBAR    15.4N  63.7W   16.1N  65.8W   17.1N  67.7W   18.4N  69.6W
SHIP        35KTS          41KTS          49KTS          56KTS
DSHP        35KTS          41KTS          49KTS          56KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110804  1200   110805  1200   110806  1200   110807  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.2N  72.9W   20.8N  76.9W   22.5N  80.5W   24.4N  83.0W
BAMD    19.2N  70.2W   22.3N  73.1W   24.5N  75.7W   26.1N  77.4W
BAMM    18.9N  71.6W   21.0N  75.0W   23.1N  77.9W   25.0N  79.5W
LBAR    20.0N  71.1W   23.9N  73.2W   27.1N  74.7W   29.2N  74.4W
SHIP        62KTS          69KTS          77KTS          74KTS
DSHP        51KTS          58KTS          66KTS          63KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.4N LONCUR =  63.7W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  15.3N LONM12 =  62.2W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  15.0N LONM24 =  58.5W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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