000
WTNT80 EGRR 300600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.08.2011

        TROPICAL STORM 12L        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N  28.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.08.2011  11.1N  28.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.08.2011  12.1N  32.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2011  13.0N  36.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2011  13.5N  40.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2011  13.9N  43.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2011  14.7N  46.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2011  15.7N  49.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2011  16.8N  52.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2011  17.9N  55.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2011  18.7N  57.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2011  19.8N  59.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2011  20.7N  61.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2011  21.9N  62.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 15.6N 101.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.08.2011  15.6N 101.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 31.08.2011  15.7N 101.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2011  16.1N 101.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.09.2011  16.6N 101.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 02.09.2011  17.6N 103.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.09.2011  18.7N 105.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2011  19.1N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2011  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 300455