000
WHXX01 KMIA 201306
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1306 UTC TUE SEP 20 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP962011) 20110920 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110920  1200   110921  0000   110921  1200   110922  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.4N  96.0W   13.7N  97.2W   13.9N  98.2W   14.1N  99.3W
BAMD    13.4N  96.0W   13.7N  97.0W   13.8N  98.1W   13.9N  99.3W
BAMM    13.4N  96.0W   13.8N  96.9W   13.9N  97.9W   13.9N  99.0W
LBAR    13.4N  96.0W   13.8N  97.1W   14.4N  98.3W   15.3N  99.4W
SHIP        25KTS          32KTS          40KTS          50KTS
DSHP        25KTS          32KTS          40KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110922  1200   110923  1200   110924  1200   110925  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.1N 100.5W   14.3N 102.9W   15.1N 106.4W   16.1N 110.3W
BAMD    13.7N 100.8W   13.5N 104.0W   13.1N 106.7W   14.1N 108.6W
BAMM    13.8N 100.2W   13.5N 103.0W   13.8N 106.0W   15.3N 108.8W
LBAR    16.2N 100.5W   18.2N 102.7W   20.0N 105.3W   21.0N 108.0W
SHIP        60KTS          79KTS          85KTS          94KTS
DSHP        60KTS          79KTS          85KTS          94KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.4N LONCUR =  96.0W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  13.2N LONM12 =  94.7W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  12.7N LONM24 =  93.8W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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