000
WHXX01 KMIA 210643
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0643 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP962011) 20110921 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110921  0600   110921  1800   110922  0600   110922  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N  96.3W   13.9N  97.6W   14.4N  98.8W   14.9N 100.0W
BAMD    13.3N  96.3W   13.7N  97.5W   14.2N  98.8W   14.6N 100.1W
BAMM    13.3N  96.3W   13.9N  97.5W   14.4N  98.7W   14.9N  99.9W
LBAR    13.3N  96.3W   13.9N  97.3W   14.7N  98.6W   15.5N 100.1W
SHIP        30KTS          39KTS          47KTS          56KTS
DSHP        30KTS          39KTS          47KTS          56KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110923  0600   110924  0600   110925  0600   110926  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.4N 101.3W   16.2N 104.2W   17.3N 107.5W   18.1N 111.1W
BAMD    15.0N 101.4W   15.7N 104.2W   16.8N 107.4W   17.7N 111.0W
BAMM    15.4N 101.1W   16.2N 104.0W   17.1N 107.3W   17.9N 111.0W
LBAR    16.2N 101.5W   17.6N 104.5W   18.8N 107.4W   19.6N 110.9W
SHIP        66KTS          74KTS          74KTS          83KTS
DSHP        66KTS          74KTS          74KTS          83KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.3N LONCUR =  96.3W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  13.0N LONM12 =  95.0W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  12.7N LONM24 =  93.9W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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