000
WHXX01 KWBC 211251
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1251 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992011) 20110921 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110921  1200   110922  0000   110922  1200   110923  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.8N  60.6W   18.6N  63.8W   19.3N  67.1W   20.5N  70.1W
BAMD    17.8N  60.6W   18.0N  62.4W   18.2N  64.4W   18.3N  66.4W
BAMM    17.8N  60.6W   18.2N  63.2W   18.7N  65.9W   19.3N  68.4W
LBAR    17.8N  60.6W   18.3N  63.2W   18.6N  66.0W   18.9N  68.8W
SHIP        25KTS          27KTS          29KTS          32KTS
DSHP        25KTS          27KTS          29KTS          32KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110923  1200   110924  1200   110925  1200   110926  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.4N  72.6W   23.3N  75.7W   24.8N  77.3W   27.3N  77.2W
BAMD    18.2N  68.1W   17.6N  71.1W   17.2N  73.1W   17.4N  74.5W
BAMM    19.7N  70.5W   20.0N  73.8W   19.9N  76.0W   20.1N  76.9W
LBAR    19.2N  71.6W   20.2N  76.0W   21.4N  77.9W   21.9N  76.6W
SHIP        34KTS          38KTS          47KTS          54KTS
DSHP        29KTS          36KTS          31KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.8N LONCUR =  60.6W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  17.7N LONM12 =  57.3W DIRM12 = 272DEG SPDM12 =  15KT
LATM24 =  17.6N LONM24 =  54.3W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD =  130NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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