000
WTNT80 EGRR 221800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.09.2011

             HURRICANE HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N  98.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.09.2011  14.7N  98.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 23.09.2011  15.4N 100.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.09.2011  15.6N 102.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.09.2011  15.5N 103.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.09.2011  15.6N 105.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2011  15.9N 108.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2011  16.3N 110.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2011  16.3N 112.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.09.2011  16.3N 114.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.09.2011  16.3N 116.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 27.09.2011  16.5N 119.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2011  17.3N 120.7W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  18.4N 122.1W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY

        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N  47.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.09.2011  13.4N  47.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 23.09.2011  14.4N  49.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.09.2011  15.1N  52.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2011  15.8N  54.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2011  16.5N  55.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2011  17.4N  57.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2011  17.6N  58.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2011  18.4N  60.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2011  19.0N  61.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2011  19.3N  63.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2011  19.7N  64.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2011  20.2N  65.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  20.6N  66.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221709