000
WTNT80 EGRR 231800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.09.2011

             HURRICANE HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 102.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2011  15.8N 102.4W   INTENSE
 00UTC 24.09.2011  16.0N 103.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2011  16.3N 105.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2011  16.5N 108.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2011  16.3N 109.9W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2011  16.5N 112.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2011  16.1N 114.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2011  16.1N 116.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2011  16.3N 118.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.09.2011  16.8N 119.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2011  17.9N 120.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2011  19.5N 120.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  21.4N 120.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY

        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N  51.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2011  14.5N  51.9W   MODERATE
 00UTC 24.09.2011  15.1N  54.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.09.2011  16.5N  57.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2011  17.4N  58.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.09.2011  18.4N  60.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2011  18.8N  61.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.09.2011  19.6N  63.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2011  20.4N  63.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.09.2011  21.2N  64.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2011  22.3N  64.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  23.1N  64.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2011  24.0N  65.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2011  24.9N  65.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 231648