000 WHXX01 KWBC 231841 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1841 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902011) 20110923 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 110923 1800 110924 0600 110924 1800 110925 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 9.6N 21.9W 10.0N 24.9W 10.1N 27.7W 10.1N 30.3W BAMD 9.6N 21.9W 9.8N 24.9W 9.9N 27.5W 10.0N 29.8W BAMM 9.6N 21.9W 10.0N 24.8W 10.3N 27.4W 10.5N 29.8W LBAR 9.6N 21.9W 9.7N 24.6W 9.9N 27.3W 10.3N 30.0W SHIP 25KTS 32KTS 41KTS 52KTS DSHP 25KTS 32KTS 41KTS 52KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 110925 1800 110926 1800 110927 1800 110928 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.4N 32.7W 12.1N 36.3W 13.7N 38.8W 14.7N 41.9W BAMD 10.4N 31.8W 11.9N 34.8W 14.6N 36.5W 17.9N 37.8W BAMM 10.9N 31.9W 12.3N 35.3W 14.1N 37.7W 15.9N 40.2W LBAR 11.0N 32.5W 13.1N 36.5W 16.3N 38.7W 20.5N 39.9W SHIP 63KTS 74KTS 74KTS 78KTS DSHP 63KTS 74KTS 74KTS 78KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 9.6N LONCUR = 21.9W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 14KT LATM12 = 9.5N LONM12 = 18.9W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 15KT LATM24 = 9.5N LONM24 = 16.1W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 160NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KMIA 231841 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1841 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110923 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 110923 1800 110924 0600 110924 1800 110925 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.2N 102.7W 16.4N 103.8W 16.9N 105.0W 17.6N 106.3W BAMD 16.2N 102.7W 16.3N 104.2W 16.5N 105.6W 16.9N 107.1W BAMM 16.2N 102.7W 16.3N 104.2W 16.6N 105.7W 16.9N 107.1W LBAR 16.2N 102.7W 16.4N 103.9W 16.9N 105.4W 17.2N 106.9W SHIP 125KTS 124KTS 126KTS 123KTS DSHP 125KTS 124KTS 126KTS 123KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 110925 1800 110926 1800 110927 1800 110928 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.5N 107.9W 20.5N 111.8W 20.3N 116.3W 19.0N 118.4W BAMD 17.6N 108.6W 19.1N 111.4W 20.2N 113.8W 21.0N 114.9W BAMM 17.5N 108.5W 19.1N 111.3W 20.0N 114.3W 20.1N 116.2W LBAR 17.6N 108.3W 19.0N 111.4W 20.6N 113.8W 23.0N 114.2W SHIP 120KTS 113KTS 101KTS 92KTS DSHP 120KTS 113KTS 101KTS 92KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.2N LONCUR = 102.7W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 16.0N LONM12 = 101.4W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 8KT LATM24 = 15.4N LONM24 = 99.4W WNDCUR = 125KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 125KT CENPRS = 942MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 135NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 75NM $$ NNNN