000
WTNT80 EGRR 250600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.09.2011

             HURRICANE HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7N 107.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 25.09.2011  16.7N 107.4W    STRONG
 12UTC 25.09.2011  17.0N 109.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2011  16.8N 111.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.09.2011  16.3N 113.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.09.2011  16.2N 115.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2011  16.3N 117.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.09.2011  17.0N 119.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  17.9N 120.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2011  19.1N 121.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.5N 121.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.9N 121.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.4N 121.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  24.9N 120.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 17.9N  58.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 25.09.2011  17.9N  58.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 25.09.2011  18.6N  60.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2011  19.7N  62.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2011  20.5N  63.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.09.2011  21.0N  63.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2011  22.7N  63.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2011  23.1N  63.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  25.3N  64.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2011  25.1N  63.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2011  26.1N  64.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  27.1N  63.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2011  29.4N  62.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  32.4N  61.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N  28.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 25.09.2011  11.4N  28.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 25.09.2011  12.4N  30.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2011  13.5N  32.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.09.2011  15.0N  33.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.09.2011  16.5N  34.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2011  17.7N  34.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2011  19.1N  34.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2011  20.5N  35.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2011  22.4N  36.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2011  24.3N  35.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  25.9N  34.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  27.8N  31.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  28.7N  28.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 250445