000
WHXX01 KMIA 260629
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0629 UTC MON SEP 26 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110926 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110926  0600   110926  1800   110927  0600   110927  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.8N 111.7W   17.1N 113.9W   16.9N 115.9W   16.3N 117.5W
BAMD    16.8N 111.7W   16.5N 113.6W   16.3N 115.2W   16.2N 116.1W
BAMM    16.8N 111.7W   16.9N 113.9W   16.8N 115.6W   16.6N 116.7W
LBAR    16.8N 111.7W   17.1N 113.2W   17.7N 115.1W   18.4N 116.4W
SHIP       105KTS         102KTS          98KTS          97KTS
DSHP       105KTS         102KTS          98KTS          97KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110928  0600   110929  0600   110930  0600   111001  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.9N 118.0W   16.5N 115.9W   18.9N 112.2W   23.4N 111.3W
BAMD    16.4N 116.3W   18.8N 114.7W   23.6N 111.6W   29.1N 111.1W
BAMM    16.7N 116.8W   18.7N 114.8W   22.9N 112.0W   28.6N 113.4W
LBAR    19.4N 117.2W   21.9N 116.9W   25.7N 115.3W   29.8N 113.8W
SHIP        91KTS          81KTS          57KTS          36KTS
DSHP        91KTS          81KTS          57KTS          36KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.8N LONCUR = 111.7W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  17.1N LONM12 = 109.9W DIRM12 = 264DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  16.9N LONM24 = 108.0W
WNDCUR =  105KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =  110KT
CENPRS =  959MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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