000
WTNT80 EGRR 291800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.09.2011

        TROPICAL STORM HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 20.2N 120.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.2N 120.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.0N 121.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  22.1N 121.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  23.0N 122.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2011  23.2N 124.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  23.1N 125.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011  22.9N 126.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N  61.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.5N  61.5W   MODERATE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.7N  62.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.3N  63.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  25.5N  64.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2011  28.4N  64.2W   STRONG      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  32.2N  63.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011  37.3N  62.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011  42.7N  60.7W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 03.10.2011   EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N  42.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2011  17.7N  42.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.09.2011  19.8N  43.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2011  21.2N  45.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  22.3N  48.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  23.0N  50.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2011  23.8N  52.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2011  24.8N  54.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2011  25.5N  57.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2011  26.2N  59.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2011  27.2N  61.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291659