000
WHXX01 KMIA 050504
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0504 UTC WED OCT 5 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972011) 20111005 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111005  0000   111005  1200   111006  0000   111006  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.7N 113.0W   11.8N 114.4W   12.0N 116.1W   12.1N 117.8W
BAMD    11.7N 113.0W   11.9N 114.7W   12.3N 116.4W   12.6N 118.2W
BAMM    11.7N 113.0W   11.9N 114.5W   12.2N 116.3W   12.4N 118.0W
LBAR    11.7N 113.0W   12.1N 114.8W   12.8N 116.9W   13.5N 118.8W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          39KTS          48KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          39KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111007  0000   111008  0000   111009  0000   111010  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.3N 119.5W   13.0N 122.1W   13.1N 124.0W   12.7N 123.2W
BAMD    13.2N 120.0W   14.8N 123.2W   15.5N 125.7W   15.2N 127.2W
BAMM    12.8N 119.8W   13.9N 122.7W   14.2N 125.0W   13.9N 126.1W
LBAR    14.4N 120.7W   16.3N 123.0W   18.9N 123.6W   21.7N 122.8W
SHIP        57KTS          67KTS          57KTS          59KTS
DSHP        57KTS          67KTS          57KTS          59KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.7N LONCUR = 113.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  11.5N LONM12 = 110.9W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  11.5N LONM24 = 108.3W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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