000
WTNT80 EGRR 050600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.10.2011

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 24.4N  60.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2011  24.4N  60.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.10.2011  25.3N  61.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2011  26.8N  61.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2011  28.2N  60.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2011  29.2N  58.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.10.2011  30.0N  55.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2011  30.8N  52.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2011  32.4N  48.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2011  37.2N  44.5W   EXTRA-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.4N 105.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.10.2011  12.4N 105.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 07.10.2011  11.8N 108.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2011  13.1N 106.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2011  14.7N 108.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2011  14.8N 107.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2011  15.1N 107.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2011  15.0N 105.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 10.10.2011  15.2N 104.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2011  16.2N 104.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.10.2011  16.9N 104.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050457