000
WHXX01 KMIA 051816
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1816 UTC WED OCT 5 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972011) 20111005 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111005  1800   111006  0600   111006  1800   111007  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.6N 114.7W   11.9N 116.1W   12.2N 117.5W   12.7N 118.8W
BAMD    11.6N 114.7W   11.7N 116.4W   11.9N 118.0W   12.3N 119.5W
BAMM    11.6N 114.7W   11.2N 116.6W   10.9N 118.2W   11.0N 119.5W
LBAR    11.6N 114.7W   11.9N 116.1W   12.4N 117.7W   13.1N 119.3W
SHIP        25KTS          30KTS          36KTS          44KTS
DSHP        25KTS          30KTS          36KTS          44KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111007  1800   111008  1800   111009  1800   111010  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N 119.8W   13.7N 121.0W   13.7N 118.0W   15.3N 111.3W
BAMD    13.0N 120.8W   13.5N 122.4W   12.8N 122.8W   13.0N 120.7W
BAMM    11.5N 120.3W   12.3N 119.5W   13.0N 116.2W   14.8N 110.2W
LBAR    13.9N 120.6W   15.8N 122.4W   18.4N 122.6W   22.3N 121.2W
SHIP        50KTS          60KTS          64KTS          67KTS
DSHP        50KTS          60KTS          64KTS          67KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.6N LONCUR = 114.7W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  11.7N LONM12 = 113.5W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  11.6N LONM24 = 111.7W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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