000
WHXX01 KMIA 071825
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1825 UTC FRI OCT 7 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992011) 20111007 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111007  1800   111008  0600   111008  1800   111009  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.0N  95.0W   11.1N  96.0W   11.1N  96.7W   11.3N  97.1W
BAMD    11.0N  95.0W   10.8N  96.0W   10.6N  96.7W   10.4N  97.4W
BAMM    11.0N  95.0W   11.1N  95.9W   11.1N  96.5W   11.1N  97.0W
LBAR    11.0N  95.0W   11.1N  95.5W   11.3N  95.9W   11.5N  96.2W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          37KTS          42KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          37KTS          42KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111009  1800   111010  1800   111011  1800   111012  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.6N  97.2W   13.3N  96.4W   15.0N  94.6W   17.3N  93.8W
BAMD    10.2N  97.9W    9.8N  99.0W    8.5N 100.5W    7.2N 102.2W
BAMM    11.2N  97.1W   12.2N  96.9W   12.7N  95.6W   14.0N  94.4W
LBAR    12.0N  96.5W   13.9N  97.5W   16.6N  99.0W   20.8N 100.2W
SHIP        46KTS          50KTS          51KTS          50KTS
DSHP        46KTS          50KTS          51KTS          50KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.0N LONCUR =  95.0W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  10.5N LONM12 =  93.1W DIRM12 = 292DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =   9.7N LONM24 =  91.7W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  125NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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