000
WHXX01 KMIA 082056
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2056 UTC SAT OCT 8 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992011) 20111008 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111008  1800   111009  0600   111009  1800   111010  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.3N  97.5W   11.3N  97.8W   11.4N  97.9W   12.1N  98.0W
BAMD    11.3N  97.5W   11.2N  98.1W   11.2N  98.5W   11.4N  98.8W
BAMM    11.3N  97.5W   11.4N  98.0W   11.7N  98.2W   12.5N  98.6W
LBAR    11.3N  97.5W   11.4N  97.8W   11.6N  98.3W   11.8N  99.0W
SHIP        25KTS          30KTS          35KTS          38KTS
DSHP        25KTS          30KTS          35KTS          38KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111010  1800   111011  1800   111012  1800   111013  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N  97.9W   16.5N  98.9W   19.2N  99.9W   19.8N 100.9W
BAMD    11.8N  99.0W   13.8N  99.1W   17.4N  97.9W   19.7N  97.4W
BAMM    13.9N  99.0W   17.3N 100.4W   20.6N 101.6W   21.1N 103.0W
LBAR    12.7N 100.1W   14.6N 103.3W   17.7N 106.7W   21.5N 108.2W
SHIP        42KTS          44KTS          45KTS          49KTS
DSHP        42KTS          44KTS          37KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.3N LONCUR =  97.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  11.2N LONM12 =  96.3W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  11.0N LONM24 =  95.0W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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