000
WHXX01 KMIA 091951
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1951 UTC SUN OCT 9 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111009 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111009  1800   111010  0600   111010  1800   111011  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.1N 119.6W   15.7N 117.7W   15.8N 115.9W   15.5N 114.1W
BAMD    15.1N 119.6W   16.2N 118.4W   17.1N 116.9W   17.1N 114.9W
BAMM    15.1N 119.6W   15.9N 117.9W   16.3N 115.8W   15.9N 113.4W
LBAR    15.1N 119.6W   15.9N 118.5W   16.7N 117.1W   17.3N 115.9W
SHIP        45KTS          44KTS          42KTS          40KTS
DSHP        45KTS          44KTS          42KTS          40KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111011  1800   111012  1800   111013  1800   111014  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 111.5W   17.3N 105.2W   18.5N 103.2W   17.4N 102.5W
BAMD    16.2N 113.0W   17.5N 108.8W   20.0N 107.8W   21.2N 108.5W
BAMM    15.5N 110.6W   18.3N 105.1W   19.5N 103.8W   18.9N 104.6W
LBAR    17.7N 115.0W   18.9N 114.6W   21.0N 115.0W   22.3N 114.5W
SHIP        40KTS          36KTS          36KTS          33KTS
DSHP        40KTS          36KTS          36KTS          33KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.1N LONCUR = 119.6W DIRCUR =  65DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  14.8N LONM12 = 120.3W DIRM12 =  53DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  14.3N LONM24 = 121.0W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1001MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
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