000
WHXX01 KMIA 100646
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0646 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111010 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111010  0600   111010  1800   111011  0600   111011  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.4N 107.2W   16.9N 105.9W   17.6N 105.3W   18.7N 105.4W
BAMD    16.4N 107.2W   17.0N 106.5W   17.9N 105.9W   19.6N 105.3W
BAMM    16.4N 107.2W   17.0N 106.0W   17.8N 105.2W   19.2N 105.0W
LBAR    16.4N 107.2W   16.9N 106.1W   17.7N 105.7W   18.4N 105.6W
SHIP        95KTS          99KTS          96KTS          90KTS
DSHP        95KTS          99KTS          96KTS          90KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111012  0600   111013  0600   111014  0600   111015  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.8N 105.8W   21.1N 106.4W   20.9N 107.7W   21.5N 108.5W
BAMD    21.8N 104.7W   24.3N 104.2W   24.0N 104.5W   25.5N 105.6W
BAMM    21.1N 105.2W   22.7N 106.5W   23.5N 109.6W   26.2N 112.2W
LBAR    19.8N 105.7W   22.8N 105.0W   24.6N 101.8W   25.7N  98.3W
SHIP        73KTS          59KTS          46KTS          38KTS
DSHP        65KTS          32KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.4N LONCUR = 107.2W DIRCUR =  80DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  16.2N LONM12 = 108.3W DIRM12 =  81DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  16.1N LONM24 = 109.5W
WNDCUR =   95KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  967MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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