000 WHXX01 KMIA 111249 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1249 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111011 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111011 1200 111012 0000 111012 1200 111013 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.6N 105.7W 19.2N 105.2W 20.8N 104.9W 21.7N 105.0W BAMD 17.6N 105.7W 19.8N 104.9W 22.2N 103.4W 23.1N 101.5W BAMM 17.6N 105.7W 19.6N 105.1W 21.5N 104.4W 22.2N 104.1W LBAR 17.6N 105.7W 19.0N 105.1W 20.9N 104.6W 22.4N 103.4W SHIP 100KTS 96KTS 90KTS 86KTS DSHP 100KTS 96KTS 64KTS 42KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111013 1200 111014 1200 111015 1200 111016 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.7N 105.7W 21.5N 108.2W 22.4N 110.7W 24.3N 113.3W BAMD 22.9N 100.4W 21.8N 100.1W 21.0N 102.8W 21.5N 106.8W BAMM 22.0N 104.8W 21.4N 107.1W 22.7N 109.2W 24.8N 111.1W LBAR 23.5N 101.2W 25.5N 96.5W 27.8N 92.2W 29.1N 88.6W SHIP 80KTS 65KTS 49KTS 39KTS DSHP 32KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.6N LONCUR = 105.7W DIRCUR = 35DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 16.9N LONM12 = 106.2W DIRM12 = 31DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 16.3N LONM24 = 106.9W WNDCUR = 100KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 105KT CENPRS = 963MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 80NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 70NM $$ NNNN