000
WHXX01 KMIA 131242
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1242 UTC THU OCT 13 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111013 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111013  1200   111014  0000   111014  1200   111015  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.6N 107.5W   19.2N 107.5W   19.5N 108.0W   19.4N 108.6W
BAMD    18.6N 107.5W   18.8N 107.5W   18.3N 107.7W   17.4N 108.3W
BAMM    18.6N 107.5W   19.1N 107.4W   18.9N 107.8W   18.4N 108.4W
LBAR    18.6N 107.5W   18.8N 106.6W   18.5N 105.8W   17.7N 105.3W
SHIP        30KTS          27KTS          26KTS          31KTS
DSHP        30KTS          27KTS          26KTS          31KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111015  1200   111016  1200   111017  1200   111018  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.2N 109.4W   19.1N 112.1W   19.5N 116.2W   20.0N 119.8W
BAMD    16.0N 109.3W   13.7N 112.4W   13.2N 115.7W   14.1N 118.8W
BAMM    17.7N 109.2W   16.1N 112.1W   15.2N 116.3W   15.2N 120.0W
LBAR    16.8N 105.4W   15.5N 107.1W   15.8N 110.0W   16.2N 113.7W
SHIP        39KTS          46KTS          55KTS          60KTS
DSHP        39KTS          46KTS          55KTS          60KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.6N LONCUR = 107.5W DIRCUR =  55DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  17.4N LONM12 = 109.0W DIRM12 =  50DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  15.6N LONM24 = 111.2W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =   60NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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