000
WHXX01 KMIA 150045
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0045 UTC SAT OCT 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111015 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111015  0000   111015  1200   111016  0000   111016  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.0N 106.3W   17.5N 107.2W   17.0N 108.5W   16.6N 110.3W
BAMD    18.0N 106.3W   16.7N 107.7W   15.3N 109.5W   14.2N 111.8W
BAMM    18.0N 106.3W   17.3N 107.5W   16.5N 109.0W   15.9N 111.0W
LBAR    18.0N 106.3W   16.7N 106.6W   15.5N 107.5W   14.7N 108.8W
SHIP        40KTS          41KTS          46KTS          50KTS
DSHP        40KTS          41KTS          46KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111017  0000   111018  0000   111019  0000   111020  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N 112.3W   16.5N 116.6W   15.9N 120.4W   15.5N 123.8W
BAMD    13.6N 114.2W   14.2N 118.8W   15.2N 122.7W   15.9N 126.0W
BAMM    15.5N 113.3W   15.7N 117.9W   16.0N 121.5W   16.3N 124.5W
LBAR    14.7N 110.4W   15.4N 114.5W   16.0N 118.9W   16.3N 122.1W
SHIP        47KTS          50KTS          47KTS          45KTS
DSHP        47KTS          50KTS          47KTS          45KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.0N LONCUR = 106.3W DIRCUR = 155DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  19.0N LONM12 = 106.8W DIRM12 = 180DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  19.2N LONM24 = 106.7W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  100NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   65NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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