000
WHXX01 KWBC 151514
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1514 UTC SAT OCT 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111015 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111015  1200   111016  0000   111016  1200   111017  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.4N  86.4W   18.5N  87.2W   18.9N  88.5W   19.1N  89.9W
BAMD    17.4N  86.4W   18.8N  87.2W   19.9N  88.3W   20.7N  89.9W
BAMM    17.4N  86.4W   18.7N  87.1W   19.4N  88.2W   19.9N  89.7W
LBAR    17.4N  86.4W   18.8N  87.2W   20.9N  88.0W   23.2N  88.5W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          38KTS          45KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          29KTS          27KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111017  1200   111018  1200   111019  1200   111020  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N  91.1W   19.7N  92.3W   18.1N  93.1W   14.9N  95.5W
BAMD    21.0N  91.4W   21.4N  93.2W   21.5N  93.4W   20.4N  90.8W
BAMM    20.0N  91.1W   20.4N  93.1W   19.7N  94.8W   17.7N  97.4W
LBAR    25.3N  88.2W   30.3N  82.7W   38.5N  67.3W   41.7N  59.2W
SHIP        53KTS          63KTS          60KTS          49KTS
DSHP        33KTS          43KTS          40KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.4N LONCUR =  86.4W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   2KT
LATM12 =  17.0N LONM12 =  86.4W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  16.6N LONM24 =  86.5W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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