000
WHXX01 KWBC 161238
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1238 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111016 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111016  1200   111017  0000   111017  1200   111018  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.4N  87.9W   20.0N  89.1W   20.5N  90.0W   21.0N  90.7W
BAMD    19.4N  87.9W   20.4N  89.1W   21.0N  90.0W   21.6N  90.4W
BAMM    19.4N  87.9W   20.2N  89.0W   20.7N  89.9W   21.4N  90.5W
LBAR    19.4N  87.9W   20.4N  89.0W   21.9N  90.1W   23.8N  90.4W
SHIP        30KTS          39KTS          47KTS          54KTS
DSHP        30KTS          28KTS          27KTS          34KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111018  1200   111019  1200   111020  1200   111021  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.6N  90.6W   23.3N  86.3W   28.1N  79.1W   33.6N  72.1W
BAMD    22.5N  90.0W   27.7N  82.4W   44.2N  65.6W   52.9N  45.5W
BAMM    22.3N  90.6W   25.5N  85.1W   34.5N  73.7W   45.1N  59.9W
LBAR    26.4N  89.5W   36.0N  77.6W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        59KTS          60KTS          40KTS          29KTS
DSHP        39KTS          39KTS          21KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.4N LONCUR =  87.9W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  19.0N LONM12 =  87.6W DIRM12 = 317DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  18.3N LONM24 =  86.9W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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