000
WTNT80 EGRR 211800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.10.2011

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.7N  80.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.10.2011  12.7N  80.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.10.2011  12.1N  80.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2011  13.0N  80.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2011  13.6N  80.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2011  14.2N  80.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2011  14.9N  81.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2011  16.5N  81.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.10.2011  17.2N  82.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.10.2011  17.9N  83.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2011  18.8N  84.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.10.2011  19.7N  85.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2011  21.0N  86.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.10.2011  22.4N  87.0W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211633