000
WHXX01 KWBC 031819
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1819 UTC FRI AUG 3 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO (AL052012) 20120803 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120803  1800   120804  0600   120804  1800   120805  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.8N  63.3W   14.4N  66.4W   15.3N  69.7W   16.3N  73.2W
BAMD    13.8N  63.3W   14.2N  65.9W   15.0N  68.6W   16.0N  71.5W
BAMM    13.8N  63.3W   14.3N  66.2W   15.1N  69.1W   15.9N  72.2W
LBAR    13.8N  63.3W   14.0N  66.2W   14.6N  69.4W   15.1N  72.7W
SHIP        45KTS          49KTS          54KTS          57KTS
DSHP        45KTS          49KTS          54KTS          57KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120805  1800   120806  1800   120807  1800   120808  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.2N  76.8W   17.4N  82.4W   16.6N  85.7W   16.1N  88.1W
BAMD    17.0N  74.3W   18.5N  79.0W   19.1N  82.2W   19.6N  85.1W
BAMM    16.8N  75.3W   17.8N  80.5W   18.0N  84.2W   18.2N  87.5W
LBAR    15.4N  76.0W   16.5N  81.1W   16.9N  84.4W   17.4N  86.8W
SHIP        62KTS          78KTS          88KTS          90KTS
DSHP        62KTS          78KTS          88KTS          64KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.8N LONCUR =  63.3W DIRCUR = 276DEG SPDCUR =  18KT
LATM12 =  13.7N LONM12 =  59.8W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =  20KT
LATM24 =  13.1N LONM24 =  55.5W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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