000
WHXX01 KWBC 091821
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1821 UTC THU AUG 9 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO (AL052012) 20120809 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120809  1800   120810  0600   120810  1800   120811  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.2N  94.7W   18.7N  96.8W   19.0N  99.0W   19.3N 101.3W
BAMD    18.2N  94.7W   17.8N  97.2W   17.7N  99.7W   17.8N 102.0W
BAMM    18.2N  94.7W   18.1N  97.1W   18.0N  99.5W   18.1N 101.7W
LBAR    18.2N  94.7W   18.2N  96.6W   18.4N  98.8W   18.8N 101.2W
SHIP        45KTS          44KTS          48KTS          55KTS
DSHP        45KTS          33KTS          29KTS          34KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120811  1800   120812  1800   120813  1800   120814  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.8N 103.6W   20.0N 108.6W   20.0N 113.7W   19.2N 117.7W
BAMD    18.0N 104.5W   17.4N 109.8W   16.6N 113.7W   16.5N 115.8W
BAMM    18.6N 104.0W   18.9N 109.2W   18.8N 114.1W   18.2N 117.2W
LBAR    19.2N 103.7W   20.8N 109.0W   22.3N 114.8W   19.4N 114.9W
SHIP        60KTS          65KTS          68KTS          76KTS
DSHP        39KTS          44KTS          46KTS          55KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.2N LONCUR =  94.7W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  18.8N LONM12 =  93.1W DIRM12 = 257DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  18.8N LONM24 =  90.9W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   25NM WNDM12 =   60KT
CENPRS =  993MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =   30NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW = 100NM
 
$$
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