000
WTNT80 EGRR 261800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ISAAC      ANALYSED POSITION : 23.3N  80.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.08.2012  23.3N  80.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 27.08.2012  24.0N  82.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2012  25.2N  84.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2012  26.6N  86.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2012  28.2N  87.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.08.2012  29.9N  87.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.08.2012  31.2N  88.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2012  31.9N  88.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.08.2012  32.9N  87.8W     WEAK      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2012  33.6N  87.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2012  35.2N  87.3W   BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.9N 109.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.08.2012  10.9N 109.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.08.2012  12.6N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2012  13.5N 106.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2012  14.8N 107.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2012  16.7N 107.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2012  17.1N 109.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2012  18.2N 110.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2012  19.5N 111.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2012  20.0N 111.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2012  20.9N 111.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2012  20.8N 112.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2012  21.0N 113.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2012  20.8N 113.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 261727