000
WTNT80 EGRR 271800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ISAAC      ANALYSED POSITION : 26.1N  84.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.08.2012  26.1N  84.8W   INTENSE
 00UTC 28.08.2012  26.6N  86.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.08.2012  28.7N  87.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2012  29.9N  88.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 29.08.2012  30.6N  88.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2012  31.1N  89.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.08.2012  31.7N  89.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2012  32.9N  89.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2012  35.5N  88.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.2N 106.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.08.2012  14.2N 106.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.08.2012  15.0N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2012  16.3N 109.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2012  16.9N 111.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2012  17.7N 111.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.08.2012  19.2N 111.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2012  20.0N 112.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2012  20.7N 112.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 271641