000
WTNT80 EGRR 050600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.09.2012

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOHN       ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 118.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.09.2012  24.2N 118.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.09.2012  24.9N 120.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2012  25.4N 121.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  25.7N 121.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 25.2N  63.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.09.2012  25.2N  63.2W    STRONG
 12UTC 05.09.2012  25.4N  63.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2012  25.7N  63.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  25.6N  63.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2012  25.7N  63.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2012  25.9N  64.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2012  26.8N  65.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2012  28.5N  67.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2012  30.7N  68.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.09.2012  33.4N  67.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  37.0N  65.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.09.2012  42.8N  61.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  50.7N  57.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 27.1N  43.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.09.2012  27.1N  43.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.09.2012  28.3N  43.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2012  28.7N  43.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  29.2N  43.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2012  29.4N  43.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2012  29.6N  44.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2012  30.1N  44.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2012  30.6N  45.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.09.2012  30.8N  45.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2012  30.7N  46.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  31.7N  47.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  33.3N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2012  35.5N  48.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 28.2N  87.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.09.2012  28.2N  87.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 07.09.2012  28.2N  88.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.09.2012  27.0N  88.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2012  27.3N  88.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.09.2012  27.3N  89.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.09.2012  26.6N  88.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2012  26.5N  87.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  26.9N  85.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  28.4N  83.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2012  29.1N  80.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050451