000
WTNT80 EGRR 120600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 42.6N  45.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2012  42.6N  45.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 12.09.2012  47.6N  40.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012  52.9N  32.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012 EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM 14L        ANALYSED POSITION : 17.9N  44.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2012  17.9N  44.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.09.2012  18.6N  47.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2012  20.2N  50.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2012  22.1N  53.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2012  23.6N  55.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2012  25.4N  56.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2012  27.6N  56.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2012  29.6N  55.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2012  31.7N  54.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.09.2012  33.2N  51.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2012  35.0N  49.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2012  36.7N  47.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2012  38.3N  47.4W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 16.1N 105.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.09.2012  16.1N 105.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.09.2012  16.8N 106.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012  17.5N 108.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2012  18.0N 110.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2012  18.4N 112.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2012  19.1N 114.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2012  20.1N 116.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2012  21.6N 118.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2012  22.7N 121.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2012  23.8N 122.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2012  24.5N 123.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2012  25.1N 123.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.8N 131.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.09.2012  13.8N 131.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.09.2012  13.9N 133.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2012  13.4N 134.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2012  12.7N 135.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2012  13.1N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2012  12.7N 137.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2012  12.0N 138.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2012  12.4N 138.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2012  12.1N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2012  12.2N 140.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120505