000
WHXX01 KMIA 141847
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1847 UTC SUN OCT 14 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL (EP162012) 20121014 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121014  1800   121015  0600   121015  1800   121016  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 115.1W   16.1N 115.7W   17.4N 115.7W   18.8N 114.5W
BAMD    15.0N 115.1W   16.2N 115.6W   17.9N 115.5W   20.6N 114.5W
BAMM    15.0N 115.1W   16.3N 115.6W   18.1N 115.5W   20.6N 114.4W
LBAR    15.0N 115.1W   16.5N 115.7W   18.5N 116.3W   20.6N 116.5W
SHIP        50KTS          57KTS          63KTS          63KTS
DSHP        50KTS          57KTS          63KTS          63KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121016  1800   121017  1800   121018  1800   121019  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.7N 112.9W   26.1N 110.6W   28.7N 110.5W   29.5N 112.0W
BAMD    24.1N 113.5W   29.7N 112.0W   29.9N 104.8W   25.3N  94.2W
BAMM    23.5N 113.4W   28.5N 113.2W   30.8N 115.2W   32.1N 118.8W
LBAR    22.6N 116.5W   25.3N 114.1W   26.6N 108.3W   26.6N 101.8W
SHIP        60KTS          30KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        60KTS          30KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.0N LONCUR = 115.1W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  14.1N LONM12 = 114.2W DIRM12 = 294DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  13.9N LONM24 = 112.6W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1001MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  250NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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