000
WHXX01 KMIA 151815
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC MON OCT 15 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL (EP162012) 20121015 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121015  1800   121016  0600   121016  1800   121017  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.8N 114.4W   19.7N 113.7W   21.4N 112.7W   23.4N 111.4W
BAMD    17.8N 114.4W   20.6N 113.5W   24.3N 112.2W   27.4N 110.8W
BAMM    17.8N 114.4W   20.7N 113.5W   23.6N 112.4W   26.2N 111.5W
LBAR    17.8N 114.4W   20.2N 113.7W   22.8N 113.3W   24.8N 111.7W
SHIP        85KTS          89KTS          82KTS          64KTS
DSHP        85KTS          89KTS          82KTS          64KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121017  1800   121018  1800   121019  1800   121020  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.5N 110.2W   27.8N 109.1W   29.1N 109.4W   29.6N 106.5W
BAMD    29.2N 108.7W   27.8N  99.9W   23.6N  92.5W   21.1N  88.3W
BAMM    28.0N 110.9W   29.5N 109.7W   30.4N 107.2W   29.6N 100.7W
LBAR    26.2N 108.8W   27.4N 100.3W   28.0N  90.7W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        46KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        46KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.8N LONCUR = 114.4W DIRCUR =  15DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  15.8N LONM12 = 115.0W DIRM12 =  13DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  14.9N LONM24 = 115.1W
WNDCUR =   85KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   65KT
CENPRS =  976MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  290NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  100NM RD34SE =   90NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW =  80NM
 
$$
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