000
WTNT80 EGRR 160600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.10.2012

             HURRICANE PAUL       ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 114.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.10.2012  19.3N 114.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.10.2012  21.0N 113.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2012  23.1N 112.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.10.2012  24.3N 112.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2012  26.4N 112.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2012  28.1N 112.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE RAFAEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 24.5N  65.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.10.2012  24.5N  65.6W   INTENSE
 12UTC 16.10.2012  27.0N  65.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2012  30.9N  63.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.10.2012  36.0N  60.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2012  40.9N  55.1W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.10.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 160500