000 WHXX01 KWBC 170707 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0707 UTC WED OCT 17 2012 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL (AL172012) 20121017 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 121017 0600 121017 1800 121018 0600 121018 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 34.0N 61.7W 37.3N 58.5W 39.9N 53.4W 41.1N 46.1W BAMD 34.0N 61.7W 38.9N 57.5W 43.6N 50.2W 47.4N 38.9W BAMM 34.0N 61.7W 37.9N 57.7W 41.5N 51.5W 43.8N 41.5W LBAR 34.0N 61.7W 38.7N 58.0W 43.3N 52.1W 46.7N 42.2W SHIP 70KTS 66KTS 59KTS 51KTS DSHP 70KTS 66KTS 59KTS 51KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 121019 0600 121020 0600 121021 0600 121022 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 40.5N 37.8W 37.5N 24.7W 37.2N 15.8W 42.3N 8.9W BAMD 49.5N 28.4W 52.9N 21.1W 57.4N 29.9W 56.3N 36.5W BAMM 44.2N 30.3W 40.3N 16.5W 39.8N 9.4W 44.5N 2.0W LBAR 46.7N 30.3W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 47KTS 36KTS 26KTS 0KTS DSHP 47KTS 36KTS 26KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 34.0N LONCUR = 61.7W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 27KT LATM12 = 29.5N LONM12 = 64.2W DIRM12 = 21DEG SPDM12 = 21KT LATM24 = 25.9N LONM24 = 65.3W WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 75KT CENPRS = 974MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 210NM RD34SE = 240NM RD34SW = 120NM RD34NW = 120NM $$ NNNN