000 WHXX01 KMIA 060033 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0033 UTC SAT JUL 6 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP052013) 20130706 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 130706 0000 130706 1200 130707 0000 130707 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.5N 103.3W 17.5N 104.1W 18.3N 105.0W 19.2N 106.2W BAMD 16.5N 103.3W 17.3N 104.7W 18.1N 106.2W 19.1N 108.0W BAMM 16.5N 103.3W 17.3N 104.7W 18.0N 106.1W 18.9N 107.8W LBAR 16.5N 103.3W 17.6N 104.9W 19.0N 107.0W 20.4N 109.4W SHIP 60KTS 68KTS 66KTS 66KTS DSHP 60KTS 68KTS 66KTS 66KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 130708 0000 130709 0000 130710 0000 130711 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.2N 107.9W 21.8N 111.5W 22.9N 114.8W 22.8N 117.2W BAMD 20.0N 109.9W 21.5N 114.9W 22.9N 119.8W 23.4N 123.2W BAMM 19.8N 109.6W 21.3N 114.3W 22.6N 119.1W 23.0N 122.4W LBAR 22.1N 111.8W 25.4N 115.9W 27.9N 118.8W 29.4N 120.3W SHIP 62KTS 44KTS 24KTS 0KTS DSHP 62KTS 44KTS 24KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.5N LONCUR = 103.3W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 10KT LATM12 = 15.5N LONM12 = 101.6W DIRM12 = 302DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 14.4N LONM24 = 99.7W WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 991MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN