000
WHXX01 KMIA 040631
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0631 UTC FRI OCT 4 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP932013) 20131004 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131004  0600   131004  1800   131005  0600   131005  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.7N 110.0W   13.0N 111.5W   13.4N 113.0W   13.5N 114.9W
BAMD    12.7N 110.0W   13.0N 112.0W   13.5N 113.9W   13.9N 115.7W
BAMM    12.7N 110.0W   12.7N 111.7W   12.8N 113.3W   12.9N 114.9W
LBAR    12.7N 110.0W   13.0N 111.4W   13.6N 113.1W   14.3N 114.8W
SHIP        20KTS          21KTS          23KTS          28KTS
DSHP        20KTS          21KTS          23KTS          28KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131006  0600   131007  0600   131008  0600   131009  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.5N 116.8W   13.1N 121.3W   13.2N 126.0W   13.5N 129.7W
BAMD    14.0N 117.6W   13.7N 121.9W   13.2N 126.4W   12.9N 129.4W
BAMM    12.8N 116.6W   12.3N 120.7W   12.4N 124.9W   12.7N 127.5W
LBAR    14.5N 116.8W   14.8N 121.4W   15.1N 125.9W   15.8N 128.1W
SHIP        34KTS          47KTS          50KTS          54KTS
DSHP        34KTS          47KTS          50KTS          54KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.7N LONCUR = 110.0W DIRCUR = 250DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  13.0N LONM12 = 109.2W DIRM12 = 251DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 = 108.1W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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