000
WHXX01 KWBC 041815
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC FRI OCT 4 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122013) 20131004 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131004  1800   131005  0600   131005  1800   131006  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.8N  90.2W   27.1N  91.3W   28.2N  92.1W   29.1N  92.4W
BAMD    25.8N  90.2W   27.1N  90.1W   28.1N  89.9W   29.5N  89.1W
BAMM    25.8N  90.2W   26.7N  90.7W   27.5N  91.2W   28.4N  90.9W
LBAR    25.8N  90.2W   26.9N  90.2W   28.1N  90.1W   29.5N  89.6W
SHIP        45KTS          42KTS          41KTS          43KTS
DSHP        45KTS          42KTS          41KTS          43KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131006  1800   131007  1800   131008  1800   131009  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    29.8N  90.9W   32.0N  84.6W   38.2N  77.6W   44.6N  72.3W
BAMD    32.4N  87.1W   43.3N  85.1W   45.1N  88.2W   39.4N  86.2W
BAMM    30.1N  89.2W   37.7N  83.8W   44.3N  83.3W   42.1N  82.5W
LBAR    31.3N  88.6W   37.6N  82.8W   46.6N  77.7W   45.6N  76.6W
SHIP        46KTS          44KTS          35KTS          29KTS
DSHP        46KTS          28KTS          30KTS          25KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  25.8N LONCUR =  90.2W DIRCUR = 335DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  24.5N LONM12 =  89.5W DIRM12 = 322DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  22.9N LONM24 =  88.3W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
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