000
WTNT80 EGRR 070600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.10.2013

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 118.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2013  13.0N 118.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.10.2013  13.6N 120.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2013  14.0N 121.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2013  14.7N 122.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2013  15.5N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 29.1N  87.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2013  29.1N  87.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.10.2013  29.1N  84.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2013  28.9N  83.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2013  28.8N  83.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2013  28.4N  82.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.8N  38.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2013  14.0N  38.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.10.2013  15.3N  41.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2013  15.9N  43.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2013  16.9N  45.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2013  18.1N  48.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 14.7N 106.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2013  14.7N 106.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2013  15.2N 108.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2013  15.7N 109.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070510